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QualityEPS R2#68

Free Cash Flow to Revenue (FCF/Revenue)

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Measures how predictable earnings per share have been over five years. Stable earnings make a company easier to value. Benjamin Graham preferred companies with earnings stability as a margin of safety against overpaying.

Formula

R-squared of EPS regression over 5 years

Description

Measures how predictable and steady earnings per share have been over the past five years. Stable earnings make a company easier to value using P/E and DCF models. Benjamin Graham preferred companies with earnings stability as a margin of safety.

Interpretation

Above 0.85 indicates very stable, predictable earnings. Above 0.7 is acceptable. Below 0.5 suggests earnings are highly volatile or cyclical, which increases the risk of overpaying. Combine with revenue stability for a complete picture.

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