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MSI dividend analysis

Industrials · $402.00 share price

Yield (TTM)
6.20%
Payout ratio
72%
5y dividend CAGR
14.2%
Safety
68/100
Growth streak
53y
Annual dividend
$24.92
Quality (VMCI)
77/100
Risk (VMCI)
59/100

MSI dividend deep dive

MSI returns 6.20% per year through the dividend at the current $402.00 share price. The payout sits at 72% of trailing earnings, leaving 28% as retained capital — the standard line for evaluating dividend safety alongside the company's free-cash-flow trajectory.

Pillar mix backing the MSI dividend: Quality 77/100, Risk 59/100, and a payout-strain adjustment that lands the dividend safety at 68/100. The Risk pillar is the place to look first if leverage or earnings cyclicality is a concern.

Reinvested-distribution math on MSI at $402.00: holding yield (6.20%) and growth (14.2%) constant, the cumulative income compounds to roughly 40.8% over 5 years, 98.2% over 10, 292.8% over 20.

On the peer line for MSI: KO (5.00%), PG (1.50%), PEP (2.90%). The cohort-mean yield (3.13%) sets the baseline; the 6.20% read on MSI is 3.07 pp above that anchor.

For MSI cash-flow planning: ex-date 2026-03-01, settlement 2026-03-15, quarterly run-rate $6.230/share. Annualized: $24.92.

MSI synthesis: yield 6.20%, growth 14.2%, safety 68/100, payout 72%. The next earnings line will tell whether free-cash-flow conversion supports the current trajectory.

DRIP yield projection

Cumulative income return at the current $402.00 entry, holding the 6.20% yield and 14.2% growth flat. Capital appreciation is excluded from this calculation.

5-year cumulative
40.8%
10-year cumulative
98.2%
20-year cumulative
292.8%

Quality + Risk pillar breakdown

Quality77/100

Earnings durability, return on capital, accruals, free-cash-flow conversion.

Risk59/100

Leverage, earnings volatility, liquidity, balance-sheet coverage.

Peer dividend comparison

TickerYield (TTM)
KO5.00%full analysis →
PG1.50%full analysis →
PEP2.90%full analysis →

Recent dividend history

Ex-datePay dateAmount
2026-03-012026-03-15$6.230
2026-06-012026-06-15$6.027
2026-09-012026-09-15$5.830
2026-12-012026-12-15$5.639
2025-03-012025-03-15$5.455
2025-06-012025-06-15$5.277
2025-09-012025-09-15$5.105
2025-12-012025-12-15$4.938

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As of 2026-05-15. ISR cache 6h.

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