ARR dividend analysis

ARR dividend deep dive

ARR returns 6.00% per year through the dividend at the current $130.00 share price. The payout sits at 50% of trailing earnings, leaving 50% as retained capital — the standard line for evaluating dividend safety alongside the company's free-cash-flow trajectory.

Pillar mix backing the ARR dividend: Quality 55/100, Risk -14/100, and a payout-strain adjustment that lands the dividend safety at 55/100. The Risk pillar is the place to look first if leverage or earnings cyclicality is a concern.

Reinvested-distribution math on ARR at $130.00: holding yield (6.00%) and growth (12.0%) constant, the cumulative income compounds to roughly 38.4% over 5 years, 91.6% over 10, 267.2% over 20.

On the peer line for ARR: KO (5.00%), PG (1.50%), PEP (2.90%). The cohort-mean yield (3.13%) sets the baseline; the 6.00% read on ARR is 2.87 pp above that anchor.

For ARR cash-flow planning: ex-date 2026-03-01, settlement 2026-03-15, quarterly run-rate $1.950/share. Annualized: $7.80.

ARR synthesis: yield 6.00%, growth 12.0%, safety 55/100, payout 50%. The next earnings line will tell whether free-cash-flow conversion supports the current trajectory.