Trip.com Group Limited (9961.HK)
ValueMarkers Composite Index
75% below intrinsic value ($225)
Trip.com Group Limited (9961.HK) — VMCI valuation read
Trip.com Group Limited sits at VMCI 61/100, with the Consumer Cyclical sector median at 50. That 11-point spread is the first thing to note on 9961.HK: it tells the reader the composite is favorable before any single ratio is examined, and the mid-cap tier sets the comparison set.
Form 4 disclosures on 9961.HK are blank for the trailing 30 days. With the insider channel offline, the EV/EBITDA delta, free-cash-flow trajectory, and the next earnings print do the talking.
**Investor frame.** The Value read on 9961.HK: 9961.HK trades at 20.0x earnings, 11% above the Consumer Cyclical median of 18.0x, with EV/EBITDA at 13.0x against 12.0x. The Quality read: ROIC of 8.0% trails the Consumer Cyclical median (10.0%) by 2.0pp. The Risk read: net debt to EBITDA of 0.6x leaves covenant headroom, anchoring the bear scenario on a measurable balance-sheet metric.
9961.HK rose 3.3% over the trailing 7 days, with a +5.5% read on a 30-day basis.
Trip.com Group Limited operates as a travel service provider for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours and in-destination, corporate travel management, and other travel-related services in China and internationally. The company acts as an agent for hotel-related transactions and selling air tickets, as well as provides train, long-distance bus, and ferry tickets; travel insurance products, such as flight delay, air accident, and baggage loss coverage; and air-ticket delivery, online check-in and seat selection, express security screening, real-time flight status tracker, and airport VIP lounge services. It also provides independent leisure travelers bundled packaged-tour products comprising group, semi-group, and customized and packaged tours with various transportation arrangements, such as air, cruise, bus, and car rental services. In addition, the company offers integrated transportation and accommodation services; destination transportation and ticket, activity, insurance, visa, and tour guide services; user support, supplier management, and customer relationship management services; and in-destination products and services. Further, it provides its corporate clients with business visit, incentive trip, meeting and conference, travel data collection and analysis, industry benchmark, cost saving analysis, and travel management solutions; and Corporate Travel Management System, an online platform that integrates information management, online booking and authorization, online enquiry, and travel reporting systems. Additionally, the company offers online advertising and financial services. It operates under the Ctrip, Qunar, Trip.com, and Skyscanner brands. The company was formerly known as Ctrip.com International, Ltd. and changed its name to Trip.com Group Limited in October 2019. Trip.com Group Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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